Forex Trading Education – Accurate Trading

Thursday, February 16th 2017

In my eyes foreign exchange trading is likely the worlds most daunting profession. There are an unlimited number of trading strategies written by countless forex guru’s. These ‘experts’ write in a seemingly unlimited number of articles the infinite methods to apply proper currency analysis. Proper forex trading education should also give you the framework of accurate trading as well.  What I have yet to witness is an accurate fx trading strategy that provides detailed knowledge while removing the ambiguity that is typically associated with exchange rate fluctuations. I’m going do do this for you.

Now let me give you my qualifications first. I have none. Sure I have advanced industry training, but what’s to tell you I’m worth listening to? After all, a designation or degree merely tells you I fell into the traditional societal format. I haven’t. My passion and purpose are to fight for what’s right. The banks have stolen from each of us for thousands of years and I’m doing my part to educate those with the knowledge I have gained over the past 3 decades. I’m not here as a broker, I’m not here as a ‘signal’ provider, I’m not here as a fund manager. I’m not a quant or a computer scientist. I’m a photographer. In my mind everything has a pattern, a repetition, a sequence and in market terms – accumulation and distribution. I believe that the markets require the visual arts more than the quantitative science of efficiency. What am I then? I’m a qualitative strategist. I measure the markets for the strongest methodologies and present the patterns that fall in favor with a high statistical edge.

I’m also here as a believer that there is a better way of life, and economists the world over have it wrong. Their objective historically has been to procrastinate the problems of today for the guy on the next shift. But they fail to address the indiscretions of the corporate world, regulatory bodies and the hierarchy of capitalism. Don’t believe me yet? Ever thought to yourself why brokers only offer courses that teach you moving averages, MACD’s and other forms of misleading market measures? They don’t teach you because they cant, and their inability is not necessarily due to lack of knowledge, but the protection of the masters they serve. The banks. The streams of liquidity that send you price quotes have to be protected. This is where the rigged system continues to function.

Imagine this. In the next 12 months I am going to put together complete chapters of my studies of the markets. This will include market cycles, market timing, order flow analysis, proper volume analysis. I’ll dissect for you the equilibrium of supply & demand and show you how to identify it and understand it with a masters edge. We’ll dive into timing with uncanny accuracy and predictive patterns will become second nature. When we’re done it will be quite clear how to profit as a forex trader and the trading education you’ll have will surpass most 30 year market veterans hands down.

As an added bonus – I’ll give special attention to News Trading. As this is where so many traders get hurt the most and this is oddly enough some of the most transparent market activity there is. Don’t believe me yet? Take a look at the following video clip of CPI/Retail Sales data from 2/15/17.

 


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Version 11.15

Thursday, November 24th 2016

It’s been a while since I’ve posted here. The days have been long as of lately. It seems the tank in the midnight oil never runs dry.  Who filled it last time anyways?   Must be the more efficient burning fuel.

We’ve spent months diligently working the release of version 11.15.  Version 15 being the interim release prior to our launch of Private Client  AG43.  The automated trading algorithm that takes advantage of pattern recognition, order flow & precision price action.

 

 


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Professional Forex Trading Education

Tuesday, May 24th 2016

All of us at some point in time have considered taking advanced training courses. I’m sure they have diversely covered all industries. I’m asked almost daily what the best option is for forex training. Without a doubt the best forex trading course is the one that you don’t have to pay for. But, buyer beware, the free trading courses must stand out of the crowd among the others and offer you insight into market movements.

Eliminate the garbage that teaches you about historical analysis with technical indicators.  Rely on the courses that base their curriculum on price action, volume, predictive patterns and cycles.  Anything outside of this only limits your upside potential.

The past two weeks have given us yet another milestone as the worlds best trading course. The proof is in the pudding but for those that focused their time and efforts, they were rewarded with accuracy that they could have only dreamed of prior.

Many have decided that after the course, they were going to jump into our Platinum Program. This will take them from an amazing 80% accuracy range to levels only reached by the best 1% globally.  This is a realization.. that the Professional Course offered by AlphaGroupFX truly is the best trading course in the world, while the Platinum Package takes you to new levels.

We welcome aboard new members and look forward to your rockets of success!


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Technical Indicators are the joust of frequent conversations. The traditional sense of the term refers to historical based lagging models that tell you where prices have been. But they don’t really guide you in learning how to trade forex. Most traders will utilize moving averages, MACD, stochastic studies or RSI. These studies don’t provide you the market transparency that professional traders demand.

Isn’t this what your competitors want you to focus on? It purposefully leads the capital from your account, out the front door and across the street to the accounts of AcmeFX. The coyote hath absconded with your hard earned greenbacks. But why wouldn’t he? You used a tool that he said would work for you.

It’s time to lock the door and use technical indicators that are in house and not co-authored by the Wiley. The volume banks trade is significantly left of center. It’s the short term approach that makes them their revenue on a consistent and focused approach. Wealth isn’t generated over trying to predict huge swings of FX rates. In a more concentrated effort, wealth is produced by high volumes, low mark up transactional flow where risk is limited and profits are routine. To get there, you must focus on your approach.

Your analysis must keep you on the right side of price action. Qualitative, not quantitative will align you with that price action. It must include statistical studies that give likely continued rate fluctuations and allow you enough insight into the bigger picture of trends while your short term collects buckets of pips.

This will keep you risk averse and cash flow centric. If you’re a new forex trader, or an expert in the industry. All traders can benefit by  deeper insight into market dynamics. Toxic breakdown of trader performance can be relieved by proper technical indicators. Stop by, open a demo forex account with us. You’ll be happy you did.


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I’ll cut to the chase. The way it doesn’t work is the construction that we currently have within the Federal Reserve. A private bank, that controls the money supply that’s backed by the government & taxpayers & not them. The government collateralizes tax returns and thus borrows more money from the Federal Reserve who holds ultimately no responsibility or risk in proper management of reserves. It’s not theirs, they only control it and interest rates are paid to them for siphoning the invisible tax upon each and every one of us. Inflation. If you want to balance the books of national debt, remove the intentional inflation, it counterbalances all productivity globally. Inflation is the return that the Federal Reserve and Member Banks ( Stockholders i.e. Global Commercial Banks ) have earned and paid in enormous ransoms on the burden of all citizens.

If you want to pay off national debt, you must find money that isn’t controlled by the Federal Reserve, they are the gatekeepers who’s focus is to charge you interest for the money that you wish to pay them off with. The revolving credit card on a plastic facade of monetary control.

Decades ago, we saw the conversion of banks and how depositor accounts were no longer titled in the name of the depositor, but funds placed in accounts were ‘loaned’ to banks and banks were permitted to do with those funds what they wanted and thus returns generated on investments were property of the banks and what they pay you the depositor a mere morsel of what’s actually profited.

Central banks should act responsibly, but first we should get governance and more specifically politicians out of the wallets of the financial institutions. ” Give me the control of a nations money and I care not who makes it’s laws. ” Mayer Rothschild

Let’s move back to trusts, where trust actually meant something. Where value in hard work was paid for in just compensation and not in usurious depletions of governance and the corporate world. The wealthy ride the wave of abuse, while the taxpayers are burdened by the politicians who serve two masters.

“I am off most unhappy man. I have unwittingly ruined my country. A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of credit is concentrated. The growth of the nation, therefore, in all of our activities are in the hands of a few men. We have come to be one of the worst world, one of the most completely controlled and dominated government in the civilized world no longer a government by free opinion, the longer a government by conviction and the vote of the majority, but a government by the opinion interests of a small group of dominant men.”

Woodrow Wilson

For a system to survive the tests of time, it must put the rewards of investments directly into he hands of the owners of the currency. Wall Street doesn’t own your deposit yet they reap the rewards while you suffer. If a bank want’s to manage your money, it should be paid a performance fee, but it shouldn’t achieve it’s goal through the fraud that’s being committed.


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Brokers Interests

Sunday, January 24th 2016

I cannot say this for all of them. But over the past 30 years I’ve experienced all types. Specifically within Spot FX their skins remain constant and that cloak is rather transparent. It doesn’t take long to recognize the problems associated with their malicious intent.

Here’s what they suggest.

1. They offer straight through processing and the ECN.
2. Non Dealing Desk Intervention.
3. Prices are Raw.
4. Commissions are barely above break even.

All of these, outright lies. At least for 99% of the operations in existence.

I think we should look at their purpose of being in the business in the first place. Trading & Profit. But specifically profiting from trading and for the most part at the risk and expense of their clients. Who are they serving? Two masters? The bank to allows them to either lay off or accept risk, or the customer who funds their wallets?

Straight Through Processing.
I’ve seen this a million times. “My Broker is an ECN”. No they aren’t. An ECN, or Electronic Communication Network is a completely neutral trading environment where trades from Client A are matched electronically against those of Client B. If your broker was an ECN you would be able to execute at the bid level by placing a limit buy order. Once your order was filled via Client C selling to you at the bid, you then profit by laying the risk off by placing an offered price 1/2 a pip higher. After all this is what the market makers do with their knowledge of order flow right? Your brokers architecture is more elementary than that. (not all brokers, but you should question them before trading with them)

So as you assume they are offering Straight Through Processing, the term signifies the unobstructed trade execution between you and the Interbank markets. MT4 Brokers, do not offer this. It’s not how their back office aggregation platform works. This is a mousetrap, and to trade effectively you must have efficient, real world pricing with commission costs better associated with the type of volume you trade.

Dealing Desk Intervention. Here it’s a bit more vanilla. Sure, they can offer No-Dealing Desk. In other words. (We wont steal from you in front of you) But we might skew prices or slip your executions as you trade. The most recent was with a firm that tailors their business to servicing introducing brokers. We will call them IL..

Your first position with them, and things seem normal except that you might notice 3/10 of a pip slippage on every order. As you build your position into the 10/1 leverage ratios, you notice each position has an increasingly larger negative slippage. NOT once, in 180 production trades did this quasi ECN broker have slippage that we naturally benefited from. The law of averages in a neutral environment would certainly offer positive slippage. It didn’t occur. At one point, prior to pulling the plug on this criminal, an order entered slipped 12 pips on entry. That was it.

They offered ECN/STP, or so they proclaimed. None of that was true and it’s just another example of conduct by those who cannot trade effectively by themselves, that they create custom liquidity aggregation to offer No Dealing Desk interaction, but by all appearances, they simply automate the theft.

Prices are Raw. This topic is a discussion I have had a few thousand times. Raw Institutional Pricing should be .00002 on EURUSD. If it’s anything else, they are intentionally misrepresenting the facts. If it’s not the case, then you don’t want to be trading with them anyways as it shows their relationships are less than ideal. If their pricing is Raw, and unfiltered, then they should be charging you a commission. Institutional Commissions are $6.50 to $ 8.00 per Million. You can better judge what you are willing to pay them when you combine the spread they are charging you on top of the commission. In no way should it ever be more than 7/10 of a pip.

Commissions. Back to the previous paragraph. Institutional settlement rates are $ 6.50 to $ 8.00 per million. But most brokers charge between 6 and 10$ per 100,000. What does this do? Nothing for the client, but for the broker, it allows them to trade 9x’s the customers volume completely commission free. By allowing them to charge you higher commissions, they are able to take risk free trades and profit on your back.

So, who serves who? Where’s the neutrality? Where’s the unobstructed pricing, execution and quality of service? Again, this doesn’t pertain to all, but for a mere 99% of brokers who are in the business.


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The Game.

Friday, November 6th 2015

If you trade the capital markets. You’ve likely been taught the wrong stuff. It’s absurdly criminal as to how much is out for sale. Yet, the publishers of that material can’t hold a light to their own shadow. With just a few years experience they assume that writing code makes them an expert in creating automated trading strategies.

We’re asked to help daily. 99.999% of that involves the elimination of material that has ever been learned prior. There’s a difference here.. it’s profitable.


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Timing

Thursday, October 8th 2015

Without it, we have nothing. Tomorrow we’re going to cover our daily session with a focus on timing and how integral parts of analysis should all be independent yet synergistic in their use of TIME.

http://ow.ly/TaIob 7 AM EST, 10-9-15


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October 2, 2015 Non Farm Payrolls

Thursday, October 1st 2015

The number here will be watched rather closely. It’s likely to be the catalyst that tips the hat in favor of the bears who are already in the drivers seat… just waiting their time to put the pedal to the metal.

Join us for the session.


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Money Management and the Roulette Wheel

Friday, August 28th 2015

If there’s a single most important focus traders should refine, it’s commonly the most abused. Money Management. I look at trading like the beloved roulette wheel. Not in terms of the risk, as trading risk is actually much easier to manage.

In 2 years, I haven’t walked away from a roulette wheel without making a profit. I typically start with a stake of $ 200. And ‘trade’ until I’m satisfied that I’ve taken the ‘trend’ out of the wheel. Many times that’s a 300 and 400% return. Not bad for a couple hours of proper money management.

Trading should be approached the same way. With Money Management and proper risk adjusted trade sizes. If things are going your way, hold on, until you have clear evidence that the market has started to move against your expectations.

How I play… I watch the wheel for 20 minutes or so before I buy in. When I start, I simply place a wager on one of the 3rd’s. 1-12, 13-24 or 25-36. It pay’s 2/1 for each wager. If I lose, I bet the same amount. If I lose again, I increase my stake, but am sure to maintain the same position ‘bet’. I’ll increase my wager by 50%, and exercise my ‘stop’ if I haven’t won a bet in 4 spins. Stay with the trend, change your bet to be on the heavier side of the table. By heavier I suggest that if the more frequent numbers are in the lower 50% range of the table, keep your bets in the 1st and 2nd third. If they are in the upper range, keep your bets in the upper two thirds. It’s that simple. You’ll catch massive ‘trends’ and you’ll walk away with routine profit.


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